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ABSTRACT
Most conflicts in the construction industry have long incubation periods. Meeting project objectives regarding time, cost and quality benchmarks is the bane of the industry. Therefore, the need to identify Early Warning Signals (EWS) of potential conflicts in construction project delivery has become very imperative. This research aims at evaluating the efficacy of existing theoretical models of EWS. This is vital in avoiding potential conflicts. The methodology involves extensive review of relevant literature and evaluative study using a questionnaire. The study revealed that a probabilistic model approach to managing construction project would mitigate conflicts by showcasing EWS that have higher probabilities of occurrence than others; by this, necessary mitigation measures are taken in a timely fashion. The study concludes that EWS probabilistic models will help stakeholders in the construction industry to identify potential construction conflicts with appropriate response strategies. The study recommends the use of EWS probabilistic model and a brief description of EWS functional components. Full Text
